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ALCS MVP Winner
kalshi

Who will win the ALCS MVP?

Volume:
$547,564

Freddy Peralta

 - Kalshi

Freddy Peralta - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 11:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Freddy Peralta

View
100%
98%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94,169
N/A
N/A
$74,835
1mo 4w
Yes
kalshi

Yandy Díaz

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,116
N/A
N/A
$40,500
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

José Ramírez

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,873
N/A
N/A
$19,165
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Junior Caminero

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,192
N/A
N/A
$26,702
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Drew Rasmussen

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,550
N/A
N/A
$11,996
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Cedric Mullins

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,520
N/A
N/A
$14,470
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Jonathan Aranda

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,277
N/A
N/A
$15,187
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Chase DeLauter

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,951
N/A
N/A
$13,952
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Tanner Bibee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,205
N/A
N/A
$13,983
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Cade Smith

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,596
N/A
N/A
$9,840
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Gavin Williams

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,843
N/A
N/A
$7,951
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Travis Bazzana

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,134
N/A
N/A
$9,431
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Shane McClanahan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,993
N/A
N/A
$12,493
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Jo Adell

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,574
N/A
N/A
$7,013
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Chandler Simpson

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,734
N/A
N/A
$8,057
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Ben Rice

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,470
N/A
N/A
$8,013
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Aaron Judge

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,038
N/A
N/A
$8,777
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Anthony Volpe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,016
N/A
N/A
$9,016
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Gerrit Cole

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,016
N/A
N/A
$9,016
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Max Fried

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,630
N/A
N/A
$8,630
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Paul Goldschmidt

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,200
N/A
N/A
$7,200
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Steven Kwan

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,194
N/A
N/A
$5,159
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,000
N/A
N/A
$7,000
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Carlos Rodón

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,000
N/A
N/A
$7,000
1mo 4w
No
kalshi

Munetaka Murakami

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,258
N/A
N/A
$6,175
1mo 4w
No
Total markets: 25 of 49

Intro

This market tracks which player will win the Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 American League Championship Series. Currently, Kalshi gives Will Jo Adell a 31.0% probability of winning, while Chase DeLauter is at 21.0%. The market will resolve based on the official MVP award given at the conclusion of the 2026 American League Championship Series, as determined by Pro Baseball. Keep an eye on the start of the 2026 American League Championship Series, as player performance during the series will be the key indicator of who ultimately claims the MVP title.

Kalshi

Contracts resolve to "Yes" if the specified player is officially named the ALCS MVP for the 2026 season. If two or more players receive the award as co-winners, each co-winner's "Yes" contracts pay $1 divided by the number of co-winners (N), while "No" contracts pay $1 minus the "Yes" payout. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many informed traders. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing market dynamics and the types of participants involved. It’s common to see initial sportsbook lines move closer to the prediction market price as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different players winning the ALCS MVP award. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that player being named MVP. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome and influences how easily prices can move.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the ALCS MVP is officially announced and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement from Major League Baseball will serve as the determining factor. The player selected as the ALCS MVP by Major League Baseball will be considered the winning outcome for this market. Any disputes regarding the official announcement will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player performance during the ALCS is the most obvious driver – strong performances by certain players will likely increase their odds, while injuries or poor play could decrease them. News regarding player health, such as injuries to key contenders, will also be closely watched. Unexpected shifts in team dynamics or managerial decisions could also influence the perceived likelihood of different players winning the award. Finally, public sentiment and media coverage can play a role, though to a lesser extent than on-field performance.