TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming college football game between Alcorn State and Mississippi Valley State. The outcome depends solely on the first half performance, not the final game result. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it still counts; otherwise, the market settles at a fair price.
If Mississippi Valley St. wins the 1st half of the Alcorn St. vs Mississippi Valley St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alcorn St. wins the 1st half of the Alcorn St. vs Mississippi Valley St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Alcorn St. vs Mississippi Valley St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds, representing a combined probability assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing a belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half of the Alcorn St vs Mississippi Valley St game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing body of the competition, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or performance metrics could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades by influential participants on Kalshi can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved will be key to understanding potential market movements.