TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Alcione Milano and Trento. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether either team wins or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Alcione Milano vs Trento professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Alcione Milano secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Alcione Milano' market resolves to Yes. If Trento achieves the win, the 'Trento' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time including stoppage minutes, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within the standard match duration, with no regard for results from extended play or penalty decisions.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This can reveal discrepancies in perceived value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome is verified after the event. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alcione Milano vs Trento match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers payout will be determined by the rules of the market on Kalshi, focusing on the final result of the match, and will be publicly available on the platform at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Alcione Milano or Trento could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader trends in the league, could also play a role. Even public perception, driven by social media or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and move the odds on Kalshi as traders react to new information.