TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Alcione Milano and Carpi. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Alcione Milano, Carpi, or a tied outcome occurs.
The event resolves based on the result of the Alcione Milano vs Carpi professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Alcione Milano wins, the 'Alcione Milano' market resolves to Yes. If Carpi wins, the 'Carpi' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time and stoppage time only, with no consideration for extended play or penalty decisions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The goal is to create a market that accurately predicts the final result of the Alcione Milano vs Carpi match, based on the aggregated predictions of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Alcione Milano vs Carpi match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Alcione Milano or Carpi would likely impact trading activity. Additionally, shifts in public perception, fueled by expert analysis or media coverage, could also influence the market. Finally, even weather conditions on the day of the match could play a role, as they might affect the style of play and potentially the outcome of the Alcione Milano vs Carpi match.