TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a soccer match between Alcala and Las Palmas in the first round of the Copa del Rey, a prestigious Spanish tournament. It focuses on which team will progress to the next stage following their head-to-head contest. The result hinges solely on the performance of the teams during the match.
If Alcala advance past Las Palmas in the Alcala vs Las Palmas soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Palmas advance past Alcala in the Alcala vs Las Palmas soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to specialized information, prediction markets can sometimes outperform them, especially as more information becomes available and traders react to news and developments. It's common to see discrepancies, as each operates with different incentives and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, provides insight into the strength of conviction behind those probabilities. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alcala vs Las Palmas match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The final outcome will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant public or expert opinions expressed through media coverage or analysis might sway market participants. Even general momentum shifts or perceived advantages for either team, based on recent performance, could lead to adjustments in the odds and overall volume.