TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:54 AM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a professional league match where the outcome determines the winner based on goals scored within the standard match time. The result will reflect either a clear victory for one team or an equal standing between them.
The event resolves based on the result of the Albirex vs Tosu professional Japan J2 League soccer game scheduled for October 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Albirex wins, the 'Albirex' market resolves to Yes. If Tosu wins, the 'Tosu' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as the collective wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi may differ from the initial assessments of oddsmakers. It's common to see prediction markets reflect information and opinions that aren't immediately factored into traditional sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each potential result, providing insight into how the crowd views the likely winner of the J1 League match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Albirex vs Tosu J1 League match as reported by official league sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the outcome against established and publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Albirex or Tosu could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances. Major upsets in other J1 League matches involving these teams’ rivals might also indirectly affect trading activity and price movements in this market.