TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Singapore Premier League between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event considers three possible outcomes: one team winning, the other team winning, or the match ending in a tie.
The event covers a Singapore Premier League soccer match between Albirex Niigata (S) and Lion City Sailors scheduled for October 18, 2026. There are three possible market resolutions: Albirex Niigata (S) win, Lion City Sailors win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after this regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to reflect public perception and manage their own risk, incorporating a ‘vig’ or commission. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering more efficient pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is Albirex Niigata (S) winning, although the chance percentage is not currently available. Traders are actively setting the odds based on their own analysis and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Albirex Niigata (S) versus Lion City Sailors match in the Singapore Premier League. The platform will verify the result against official league standings and match reports to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Albirex Niigata (S) or Lion City Sailors would likely have an impact. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant tactical adjustments announced by either team’s coach, could also cause the market to react. Furthermore, any major developments in the broader Singapore Premier League standings might influence how traders assess the teams’ motivations and chances of success.