TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Albion FC and Montevideo City Torque, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Albion FC vs. Montevideo City Torque match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Albion FC and Montevideo City Torque, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Albion FC vs. Montevideo City Torque match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that traditional sportsbooks might miss. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see differences between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, though they are often quickly corrected by market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability of that outcome rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and expectations for the match between Albion FC and Montevideo City Torque.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Albion FC versus Montevideo City Torque match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the score reported by official sources for the match, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players for either Albion FC or Montevideo City Torque, or changes in weather conditions could all shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or tactical changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions. As the match date approaches, any updates related to team form or recent performance will likely be closely watched by traders.