TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Sports
Albion FC vs. Deportivo Maldonado
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Albion FC vs. Deportivo Maldonado?

Total volume:
$33,283
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$19,629
34%
Open interest:
$29,681
7,862%

Dep Maldonado

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 02h:24m:02s

Dep Maldonado wins

45%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% APY not meaningful
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dep Maldonado

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
N/A
$23,668
0%
N/A
$23,077
2h 24m
Active
polymarket

Deportivo Maldonado

44%
4%
Yes 45¢No 57¢
2¢
$7,741
$16
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
45%
Yes 45¢No 56.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Tie

32%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
1¢
N/A
$2,436
0%
N/A
$2,303
2h 24m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Albion FC vs. Deportivo Maldonado)

32%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
1¢
$5,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Albion FC

24%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
2¢
$6,631
$986
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Albion

23%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
N/A
$6,178
0%
N/A
$4,302
2h 24m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23.1%
Yes 24.5¢No 77¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay Primera Division, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for Albion FC winning, Deportivo Maldonado winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario, potentially leaving markets open or resolving based on other criteria.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may not resolve predictably in that event. Polymarket offers more clarity on this front.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game being played to completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Albion vs Dep Maldonado professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match originally scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Albion wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Albion' market resolves to Yes. If Dep Maldonado wins under the same conditions, the 'Dep Maldonado' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Albion vs. Maldonado match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities surrounding various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $16,745. The dashboard tracks the implied probabilities and volume traded across these platforms, offering a comprehensive look at what market participants believe will happen. This allows users to see where there is agreement—or disagreement—between different markets regarding the likely result of the match. The current volume of $12,252 indicates recent market activity.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants and the way information is incorporated into pricing. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, like others, can reveal insights that diverge from sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may be slower to react to new information or less influenced by certain types of data, whereas prediction markets can quickly adjust based on the aggregated knowledge of many participants. The volume of $16,745 suggests a degree of interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons, including differences in user base, market design, and trading fees. Polymarket currently favors Will Deportivo Maldonado win on 2026-11-01? at 44.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Dep Maldonado wins at 45.0%. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the specific rules and mechanisms of each market—such as the types of orders allowed or the fees charged—can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity, reflected in the volume traded on each platform, can also contribute to price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Albion vs. Maldonado match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed result of this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could influence traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or news coverage, could also play a role, especially if it suggests a shift in expectations. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, might also cause traders to reassess their forecasts and adjust their positions in this market.