TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Dep Maldonado
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 02h:24m:02s
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay Primera Division, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for Albion FC winning, Deportivo Maldonado winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between Albion FC and Deportivo Maldonado.
The event resolves based on the result of the Albion vs Dep Maldonado professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match originally scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Albion wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Albion' market resolves to Yes. If Dep Maldonado wins under the same conditions, the 'Dep Maldonado' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants and the way information is incorporated into pricing. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, like others, can reveal insights that diverge from sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may be slower to react to new information or less influenced by certain types of data, whereas prediction markets can quickly adjust based on the aggregated knowledge of many participants. The volume of $16,745 suggests a degree of interest in this event.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons, including differences in user base, market design, and trading fees. Polymarket currently favors Will Deportivo Maldonado win on 2026-11-01? at 44.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Dep Maldonado wins at 45.0%. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the specific rules and mechanisms of each market—such as the types of orders allowed or the fees charged—can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity, reflected in the volume traded on each platform, can also contribute to price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Albion vs. Maldonado match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could influence traders' perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or news coverage, could also play a role, especially if it suggests a shift in expectations. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or changes in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, might also cause traders to reassess their forecasts and adjust their positions in this market.