TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Albion FC and Defensor Sporting, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Albion FC" if Albion FC score more goals than Defensor Sporting in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Albion FC and Defensor Sporting score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Defensor Sporting" if Defensor Sporting score more goals than Albion FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Albion FC and Defensor Sporting, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Albion FC" if Albion FC score more goals than Defensor Sporting in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Albion FC and Defensor Sporting score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Defensor Sporting" if Defensor Sporting score more goals than Albion FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Albion vs. Defensor second half. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result. The market’s efficiency depends on the number of active traders and the quality of information they possess, influencing the accuracy of the implied probability.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half of the Albion vs. Defensor match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will depend on official match data, and any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match polls, could impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.