TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Albania vs. Wales
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Albania vs. Wales?

Volume:
$201,061

Wales

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wales

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,844
N/A
N/A
$13,425
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wales

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,982
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,240
N/A
N/A
$79,101
Settled
No
polymarket

Albania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,000
N/A
N/A
$23,339
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Albania vs. Wales)

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Albania vs. Wales FIFA Women's World Cup Qualifier match scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Albania winning, Wales winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on the resolution of a cancellation, with Polymarket resolving to 'Yes' for a draw and Kalshi resolving to 'No'.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk. Polymarket's 'Yes' resolution for a draw in case of cancellation could be advantageous if a cancellation is likely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Albania wins or the game ends in a draw. Resolves 'No' if Wales wins. If the game is canceled, resolves 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Albania, Wales, or a Tie wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, resolves 'No'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Albania and Wales.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Albania vs. Wales women's professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to 'Yes,' while a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the outcome of these markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals with skin in the game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, as traders continuously update their positions based on the latest developments surrounding the Albania vs. Wales match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Albania vs. Wales match. Trading mechanisms also differ between the two venues; Polymarket may have different fee structures or liquidity levels than Kalshi, influencing how prices are formed. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can impact price discovery, with higher volume generally leading to more accurate and efficient pricing. These factors can create temporary discrepancies, even though both platforms ultimately aim to predict the same outcome.