TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Albania and San Marino. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for the total goals scored in the Albania vs San Marino UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specified half-goal increments (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). All markets conclude after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. The governing rules consistently apply across all thresholds, ensuring uniform evaluation of the match’s final score under standard regulation time conditions. Kalshi explicitly states no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders collectively hold a different view than the oddsmakers, or that information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook prices yet. It’s a useful comparison for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Albania-San Marino match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Albania vs. San Marino match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts following the event’s completion and verification.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups for either Albania or San Marino would likely have an impact. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Unexpected tactical decisions by either manager, or even early goals scored during the match, could lead to significant shifts in the market as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess probabilities.