TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of the UEFA Nations League match between Albania and San Marino. Resolution depends on the score at the end of 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Any score not explicitly listed will resolve to 'Any Other Score'.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Albania and San Marino, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Albania vs. San Marino match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Albania and San Marino, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Albania vs. San Marino match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more nuanced and potentially more accurate assessment of probabilities. However, arbitrage opportunities can arise, allowing traders to profit from discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, especially with high volume.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in trader participation, liquidity, and perceived information advantages on each platform. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders than Predict, leading to differing opinions reflected in the odds. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $174,410 overall – can impact price discovery. Different market-making strategies employed by traders on each venue can also contribute to price discrepancies, even when analyzing the same underlying event.
Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Albania or San Marino could have a significant impact. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be severe, could also move the market. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches or friendly games involving these teams might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could quickly shift the consensus view and alter the prices.