TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Albania vs. San Marino
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Albania vs. San Marino?

Volume:
$4,144,865

Albania

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 6:49 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Albania

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$640,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Albania

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$481,999
N/A
N/A
$239,064
Settled
Yes
predict

ALB

View
99%
2%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,829
$42,979
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SMR

View
1%
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$262
$31,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Marino

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,410,041
N/A
N/A
$947,403
Settled
No
polymarket

San Marino

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321,468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
2%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$160
$14,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,119,563
N/A
N/A
$428,560
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Albania vs. San Marino)

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Albania will win its UEFA Nations League soccer game against San Marino on October 6, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Albania winning is 100.0%. This consensus view combines data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on whether Albania wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game result. Keep an eye on the October 6, 2026 match itself, as the outcome of the game will determine resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge on how a complete cancellation of the game is handled, impacting resolution.Hero tip: Be aware that a cancellation could lead to different outcomes on Polymarket (resolves to 'No') versus Kalshi (remains open). Consider hedging or focusing on platforms with preferred cancellation policies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'No'. This implies a definitive outcome even without a match being played.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the market will not resolve. This means the market remains open indefinitely, awaiting a rescheduled game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Albania and San Marino.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Albania vs San Marino UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Albania resolves the 'Albania' market to Yes; a win for San Marino resolves the 'San Marino' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Albania and San Marino.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Albania vs. San Marino match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $4,144,865, with $3,202,018 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The consensus view, based on current trading, suggests a strong expectation for one particular outcome, though prices can shift as new information becomes available. We are aggregating data from both venues to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert forecasts. While both aim to predict the same event, the mechanisms and information sources differ, resulting in potentially different probabilities for the same outcome.