TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Albania vs. Finland
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Albania vs. Finland?

Total volume:
$57
Volume 24h:
$18N/A
Liquidity:
$5,076
11%
Open interest:
$57
48%

Finland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 10d:03h:26m

Finland wins

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 26¢ buys you 385 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $385 | Net Profit: $285 Multiplier: 3.85x | ROI: 285% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Finland

Trade
26%
Yes 26¢No 79¢
5¢
N/A
$57
48%
N/A
$57
1w 3d 3h
Active
polymarket

Finland

Trade
26%
Yes 30¢No 79¢
9¢
$1,473
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26%
Yes 26¢No 79¢
Avg: 7¢Max: 9¢
kalshi

Albania

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 3h
Active
polymarket

Albania

Trade
48%
1%
Yes 54¢No 59¢
13¢
$2,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 9.5¢Max: 13¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 3h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Albania vs. Finland)

Trade
28%
Yes 33¢No 78¢
11¢
$1,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 11¢Max: 11¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of the Albania vs. Finland UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets exist for Albania winning, Finland winning, or the game ending in a draw. All markets consider only the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes extensive no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi's rules are more basic and lack these contingencies.Hero tip: Polymarket markets may be more likely to resolve to 'No' in the event of a cancellation or abandonment. Factor this into your trading strategy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Albania winning, otherwise 'No'. Includes detailed no-result provisions for cancellation, abandonment, or failure to start by Nov 14, 2026, and outlines how abandoned games will be resolved based on official rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Albania wins, 'Yes' if Finland wins, or 'Yes' if the game is a tie. Lacks specific rules for cancellation or abandonment beyond the initial win/tie/loss conditions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Albania and Finland, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Albania vs Finland UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Albania vs. Finland match from multiple prediction market platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $57, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours. We track the consensus view of traders to provide a comprehensive look at the probabilities assigned to different outcomes. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism to determine probabilities. This allows for a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market’s probabilities are driven by actual money placed on various outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases, prediction markets tend to be more efficient at aggregating diverse information. However, sportsbooks often offer more variety in betting options than are currently available in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Albania win on 2026-11-12? at 47.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Finland wins at 26.0%. Differences in liquidity—the amount of volume traded—can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing opinions on the significance of recent news or team performance can lead traders on each platform to assign different probabilities to the same outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Albania vs. Finland match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The outcome will be determined by which team wins the match, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact trading activity and shift probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other qualifying matches, or changes in the overall tournament standings, might also affect perceptions of each team’s chances. Furthermore, public statements from team representatives or analysts, as well as shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role.