TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar?

Volume:
$1,813,234

Eibar

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 9:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eibar

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$909,474
N/A
N/A
$348,223
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SD Eibar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$305,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285,370
N/A
N/A
$121,191
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Albacete

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140,465
N/A
N/A
$74,984
Settled
No
polymarket

Albacete Balompié

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the La Liga 2 soccer match between Albacete Balompié and SD Eibar on October 3, 2026, specifically whether either team will win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of SD Eibar winning is 100.0%, while Albacete Balompié has a 0.1% chance of winning, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The official results from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion will determine resolution. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 3, 2026, as the final whistle will confirm the winner and settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario, implying resolution requires a completed game.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's markets will resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled, while Kalshi's resolution is uncertain in that scenario. Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on win/loss/draw after 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled with no makeup game, resolves to 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on win/loss/draw after 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game being completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Albacete Balompié and SD Eibar.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Albacete vs Eibar professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome corresponds to the specified team winning: Albacete for the first market, Eibar for the second, or a tied result for the third. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. However, both prediction markets and sportsbooks are influenced by information and can converge as new data becomes available. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the Albacete vs Eibar match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different platforms attract different types of traders, leading to variations in price discovery. Polymarket may have a user base more knowledgeable about Spanish football, while Kalshi might have a broader demographic. Furthermore, each platform has its own fee structure and liquidity, impacting trading behavior. The volume on Polymarket is currently higher, potentially indicating greater confidence or interest in the leading outcome. These factors contribute to the observed price differences in this market, even though both are attempting to forecast the same event.