TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:15h:27m
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This group resolves based on the outcome of a Germany BBL basketball game between Alba Berlin and Phoenix Hagen. The market determines whether Alba Berlin or Phoenix Hagen wins the game, considering overtime if applicable. Cancellation or abandonment of the game may result in a 50-50 split resolution.
In the upcoming Germany BBL game between Alba Berlin and Phoenix Hagen, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Alba Berlin win, the market will resolve to "Alba Berlin". If the Phoenix Hagen win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Hagen". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Germany BBL basketball game between Phoenix Hagen and Alba Berlin, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026, at 2:00 PM EST. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined solely by which team wins the game, with no additional performance-based criteria affecting resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to price discovery driven by diverse perspectives. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities where the implied probability from this market differs significantly from sportsbook odds, allowing traders to profit from these discrepancies.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price movements; a larger volume on one platform may lead to a more stable and accurate price. The current 24-hour volume is $0, and differing levels of participation on Polymarket versus Kalshi contribute to these price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Alba Berlin vs. Phoenix Hagen game in the German Basketball League. The winning team, as determined by the official league standings, will dictate the outcome of this market. The current volume is $0, indicating active participation leading up to resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 13, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Alba Berlin or Phoenix Hagen would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding game, could also shift trader sentiment. Major announcements related to coaching changes or team strategy could also influence the market. Finally, any public statements from key players or analysts offering insights into the game’s likely outcome could contribute to price movements in this market.