TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Spanish Liga F soccer match between Alavés and Sevilla. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Alavés wins, Sevilla wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Alavés vs Sevilla professional Spanish Liga F soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Alavés wins, the 'Alavés' market resolves to Yes. If Sevilla wins, the 'Sevilla' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the regulation time result.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on team statistics, historical performance, and expert opinions, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to factors not easily quantifiable by analysts, such as team morale, potential injuries, or even subtle strategic shifts. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially diverging from initial analyst predictions as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on the collective information available. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alavés vs Sevilla match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alavés or Sevilla would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess their overall probabilities.