TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Alaves vs Malaga
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What is the result of Alaves vs Malaga?

Volume:
$3,635,428

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 4:54 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$723,207
N/A
N/A
$304,548
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alaves

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,659,420
N/A
N/A
$955,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Malaga

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,252,801
N/A
N/A
$613,976
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Alaves will win their La Liga soccer match against Malaga. Currently, Kalshi gives Alaves a 50.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 33.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to Kalshi’s resolution source. Traders should watch the kickoff on October 23, 2026, as the result of that match will determine the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Alaves vs Malaga professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Alaves wins, the 'Alaves' market resolves to Yes. If Malaga wins, the 'Malaga' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Alaves vs Malaga match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You'll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. The current volume is $2,151,579, while the total volume traded on this market is $3,635,428. This provides insight into how actively traders are engaging with the question of who will win this match, and how confidence is changing as new information becomes available.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alaves vs Malaga match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—Alaves winning, Malaga winning, or a draw—is the correct result based on the final score. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.

Several factors could influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Alaves or Malaga could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also cause movement in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.