TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the Alaves versus Atletico La Liga soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the outcome of the match as defined by whether over 2.5 goals are scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to the official result. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match itself on October 10, 2026, as that will determine whether the market resolves to Yes or No.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Alaves vs Atletico professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed thresholds of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5. Extra time and penalty phases are excluded from goal counts. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Alaves vs Atletico match. The price of each contract reflects the current probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s final score.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Alaves vs Atletico match, as officially recorded by the governing football league. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alaves or Atletico would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations for goal scoring. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts and any late-breaking team news could all contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.