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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

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39,838

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Alaves vs Atletico
kalshi

What is the result of Alaves vs Atletico?

Volume:
$4,222,778

Atletico

 - Kalshi

Atletico - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 12:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Atletico

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,205,949
N/A
N/A
$913,929
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alaves

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,149,598
N/A
N/A
$689,295
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$867,231
N/A
N/A
$344,972
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Alaves will win, Atletico will win, or the match will end in a tie in a professional La Liga soccer game between Alaves and Atletico. Currently, Kalshi gives Atletico a 48.0% probability of winning, while a tie is at 33.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the game as reported by the official source, specifically if Alaves wins the Alaves vs Atletico professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match itself on October 10, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Alaves vs Atletico professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Alaves secures a victory under these conditions, the 'Alaves' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Atletico wins under the same conditions, the 'Atletico' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude with an equal scoreline after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard match duration.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Alaves vs Atletico match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities have shifted over time and gauge market interest based on the volume of $3,943,662 traded in the last day. The total volume for this market currently stands at $4,222,778. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how confidence in different outcomes is evolving leading up to the event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Alaves vs Atletico match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alaves vs Atletico match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract(s) and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It is important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of resolution, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s market rules.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching strategy for either Alaves or Atletico could all have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could also move the market. Any major developments leading up to the Alaves vs Atletico match are likely to be reflected in the trading volume and price fluctuations on Kalshi.