TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Turkey's Super Lig league. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, it is considered a tie.
The event determines the winner of a professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, between Alanyaspor and Kocaeli, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Alanyaspor, a win for Kocaeli, or a tie. If the match concludes with one team scoring more goals than the other within this timeframe, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the teams finish level, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Alanyaspor vs Kocaeli match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more its price will move, indicating the collective assessment of the Alanyaspor vs Kocaeli match’s likely result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to generate a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alanyaspor vs Kocaeli match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable for the Alanyaspor vs Kocaeli match would likely have a significant impact. Major upsets in related matches or changes in public perception of either team’s chances could also drive price movement. Monitoring these signals can help understand the dynamic shifts in the market’s predictions.