TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Turkey's top league. The result depends solely on which team wins within the standard match duration, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during regulation time, the match ends in a tie.
The event determines the winner of a professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, between Alanyaspor and Erzurum, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team secures a victory within this timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation, a separate 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular play.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially have different odds, they often adjust as more information becomes available and betting action occurs. It’s common to see convergence between prediction markets and sportsbooks, but discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk appetites.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alanyaspor vs Erzurum match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Alanyaspor, a win for Erzurum, or a draw – actually occurred during the match. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could cause the market to shift. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also contribute to price changes, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.