TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Alacranes and Zacatecas. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the final scoreline from the regulation time of the match.
The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for the total goals scored in the Alacranes vs Zacatecas professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific half-goal increments (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5) after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing league’s official result determines resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the league, emphasizing that all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can stem from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions among market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be the total number of goals scored in the Alacranes vs Zacatecas match. Official match statistics will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective determination of the result, allowing for a clear and verifiable outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Alacranes or Zacatecas could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the coaches, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, or even large trades by individual participants, can cause noticeable movements in the market price leading up to Oct 4, 2026.