TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event encompasses a Liga de Expansion MX soccer game pitting Alacranes against Zacatecas. The result is judged by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, disregarding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Alacranes wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Zacatecas wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s considerable uncertainty. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Alacranes vs Zacatecas match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment regarding the Alacranes vs Zacatecas match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alacranes vs Zacatecas match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the results against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score and declare the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also lead to price movements. Additionally, large trades from individual participants or groups could temporarily impact the odds, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome in the Alacranes vs Zacatecas match.