TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:08 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves predicting whether a specific soccer match between Alacranes and Tapatio will see a certain number of goals scored within regular time.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Alacranes vs Tapatio professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. If the specified threshold of goals is exceeded, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome is determined solely by the official match result as recorded by the governing league.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook odds which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of opinions to influence the price. It's common to see prediction market prices converge towards the true probability of an event as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and risk appetites.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Alacranes vs Tapatio match will be the determining factor. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to verify the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches for both Alacranes and Tapatio, as well as any tactical adjustments announced before the game, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Major upsets in related matches could also influence expectations.