TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Alacranes and Atletico Morelia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the Liga de Expansion MX and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Alacranes vs. Atletico Morelia professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from initial sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ capabilities and potential for scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating the event’s outcome. As more trades occur, the price converges toward a collective assessment of the likelihood of each possible total goal count in the Alacranes vs Morelia match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Alacranes vs Atletico Morelia match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alacranes or Atletico Morelia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected number of goals. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ form and attacking capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the market price.