TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Alacranes vs Atletico Morelia: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Alacranes vs Atletico Morelia?

Volume:
$5,696

Alacranes wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Alacranes wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 11:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alacranes wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,465
N/A
N/A
$1,970
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alacranes wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,893
N/A
N/A
$1,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico Morelia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$937
N/A
N/A
$774
Settled
No
kalshi

Alacranes wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico Morelia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Alacranes and Atletico Morelia, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Bets are settled based on whether a team wins by a specified goal differential.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the outcome of the Alacranes vs Atletico Morelia professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. The final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties) determines resolution. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Alacranes winning by more than 2.5 goals, Alacranes winning by more than 1.5 goals, Atletico Morelia winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Atletico Morelia winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market matching one of these conditions resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' The governing league’s official result is the sole authority, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Alacranes vs Morelia match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You’ll find a price history chart displaying how the market has moved over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $5,135. The total volume traded on this market is $5,144. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the anticipated point difference in the game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It's common to see this market and sportsbook lines converge as the event approaches, but significant differences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Alacranes vs Morelia match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective expectation of the spread, allowing traders to express their views and potentially profit from accurate predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Alacranes vs Morelia match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league or governing body responsible for the match. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Alacranes vs Morelia match takes place. Key player injuries or suspensions on either team would likely cause significant movement, as would any unexpected changes in team form or coaching strategies. News regarding weather conditions, particularly if they could affect the style of play, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant public statements from team personnel or analysts offering strong opinions about the expected outcome could shift market sentiment and drive price fluctuations.