TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that mark during the match. The outcomes reflect betting interest in various scoring scenarios.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Alabama and Tennessee in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold (e.g., Tennessee over 6.5 points, Alabama over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartial treatment when external factors prevent play. Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular team total. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or injury reports.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Alabama and Tennessee will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals are above or below the thresholds defined by the contracts available for trading. Traders who correctly predicted the team totals will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Alabama or Tennessee would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also influence the market, as weather can impact scoring. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can drive price movements, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment regarding the likely team totals.