TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns are scored through receptions. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of receiving touchdowns are met by either Alabama or Tennessee during the game.
The event evaluates whether Alabama or Tennessee achieves specific numbers of receiving touchdowns in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of receiving touchdowns for each team, resolving to Yes if the team records at least the specified number of such touchdowns. Receiving touchdowns include those scored in overtime but exclude successful two-point conversions. If a game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. A touchdown counts as a receiving touchdown only if the player who caught the pass also scores, with special provisions for fumble recoveries by the same player. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and evolving information. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments and the impact of late-breaking news, such as player injuries, which may be quickly incorporated into prediction market prices. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Tennessee will receive one or more touchdowns. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into the level of conviction among traders. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Tennessee receives one or more touchdowns during the Alabama vs. Tennessee football game. Official game statistics from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final result. The market will close prior to the game’s completion, allowing time for verification of the outcome and final settlement of contracts. Traders should monitor the official game results to understand the resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Alabama or Tennessee teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the market, as weather conditions can affect scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the game’s likely outcome could contribute to movement in this market.