TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Alabama and Tennessee. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including any overtime periods.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Tennessee scores first, Alabama scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities are more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different ways of assessing the same underlying event, and discrepancies can occur due to differing methodologies and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Alabama or Tennessee scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the game, the more responsive the prices will be to late-breaking news, such as injury reports or weather forecasts.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown of the game, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Alabama or Tennessee would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also have an impact. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.