TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Alabama or Tennessee specifically within the final quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team achieves a points differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals trading contracts. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Alabama versus Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final score differential will determine which contracts pay out, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the Alabama-Tennessee 4th quarter spread market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can shift the price, reflecting a change in collective sentiment among traders.