TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, 7.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, the 3rd quarter total points being over or under the specified line. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the game's potential scoring in the 3rd quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official scoring data from the Alabama vs Tennessee game will be used to determine whether the total points scored in the 3rd quarter fall above or below the relevant threshold. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Tennessee would likely have a significant impact, as it affects the teams' offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is expected, could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could influence traders' perceptions and lead to price movements in this market.