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419,492
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 17, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves if Tennessee wins the second quarter by more than 6.5 points in their college football game against Alabama. Only points from the second quarter count, and the market stays open if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time.
If Tennessee wins the 2nd quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama wins the 2nd quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market have different costs and risk tolerances, which can contribute to these differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the second quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Any official results released by the governing body of the sport will serve as the basis for determining the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Alabama or Tennessee would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence the collective beliefs of traders and affect the price of contracts.