TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams combined in the second half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (including overtime) of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the combined second-half points exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the official final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward these markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value, but it's important to note that both represent probabilities of the same underlying event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. The price is expressed as a value between 0 and 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring, and is continuously updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the second half of the Alabama versus Tennessee football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points will be paid out according to the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Tennessee would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also influence trading activity. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will also contribute to price fluctuations. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators can also play a role in shifting the market’s assessment of the likely total points scored in the second half.