TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:32 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that traders can speculate on, reflecting expectations about the game's early momentum and offensive performance.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for each market (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points). Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they traded.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Alabama vs Tennessee 1st quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring—a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the first quarter total score. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total score of the first quarter of the Alabama vs Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts payout. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the outcome and their positions.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Tennessee would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market for the Alabama vs Tennessee 1st quarter.