TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the first-half performance of Alabama and Tennessee in their college football matchup scheduled for October 17, 2026. The result is determined by which team has the higher point total after the first 30 minutes, with equal scores leading to a specific resolution.
The market resolves based on which team leads after the first half of the Alabama versus Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Tennessee scores more points than Alabama in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Tennessee outcome. If Alabama scores more points than Tennessee in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Alabama outcome. If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, resulting in a tie, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. Only points scored during the first half count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and expert opinions. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that may more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. Often, you'll find prediction markets react more quickly to new information, such as injuries or weather reports, than sportsbooks do. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether Alabama or Tennessee will win the first half. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the perceived likelihood of each team emerging victorious in the first half of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the first half of the Alabama vs Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official game statistics and score at halftime. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Tennessee would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the passing game, could also influence trading activity. Major coaching decisions or changes in team strategy announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread betting patterns, could lead to changes in the perceived probabilities and therefore the prices within this market.