TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming college football matchup. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match the specified conditions for resolution. The events consider various possible scenarios, including wins by either team or a tied first half, combined with different full-game results.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Alabama vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the first-half result and the full-game result must exactly match the conditions specified in the market. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the required condition, the market resolves as 'No.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a unique combination of first-half and full-game outcomes, such as Tennessee winning both the first half and the full game, or Alabama winning the first half while Tennessee wins the full game, among other specified scenarios.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price discovery process, and the current prices are a direct result of the supply and demand for each possible result of the Alabama vs Tennessee game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alabama vs Tennessee game, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result as determined by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi by informed traders could create momentum and move the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market's probabilities.