TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, without that built-in margin. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on power rankings and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, reflecting differing viewpoints.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making algorithm to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Oct 3, 2026, once the final result of the Alabama-Mississippi State game is officially confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public reporting from official sources covering college football. The market will then determine the winning outcome based on the official game results. The platform will automatically settle all outstanding contracts at that time, paying out to those who correctly predicted the result and charging those who did not. Traders should monitor the official results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Alabama or Mississippi State teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes, significant shifts in weather forecasts for the game location, or even major news stories affecting team morale could all cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in news articles and social media, can also play a role, though the market tends to be more driven by informed traders than general public opinion. Any new information relevant to the game's outcome has the potential to move the market.