TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets track the potential performance of both teams in a college football game by measuring how many yards they gain through receptions. Each market corresponds to a specific yardage threshold that either team might achieve during the match. The outcome depends solely on whether the stated yardage milestone is met or exceeded by the specified team.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by either Alabama or Mississippi State during the game scheduled for October 3, 2026, including any yards gained in the first or second overtime periods. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, do not contribute to the receiving yards tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will settle at a fair price, ensuring an equitable resolution for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals actively trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receiving yards in the Alabama vs Mississippi State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely receiving yardage total. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage total from the Alabama vs Mississippi State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics released by the governing body of college football will serve as the source of truth for determining the total receiving yards. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant, as would any changes in the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding the offensive strategies of either team could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends on Kalshi, could drive price movements. The closer the game gets, the more sensitive this market will be to new information and developments.