TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Alabama or Mississippi State scores the first touchdown in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, or if neither team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts toward resolving the market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The event includes three possible outcomes corresponding to each team scoring first or neither team scoring a touchdown during the entire game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to score first, the price for that outcome will decrease, potentially offering a better value than sportsbook odds. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Alabama or Mississippi State scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of traders regarding which team will score first.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown in the Alabama vs Mississippi State game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Mississippi State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts could influence traders and move the market prices.