TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game. It provides a way to speculate on the momentum and performance of Alabama and Mississippi State during the last segment of play, regardless of the overall game outcome.
If Mississippi St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Alabama vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Alabama vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Alabama vs Mississippi St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the most likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the potential result of the 4th quarter of the Alabama vs Mississippi State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Alabama winning, Mississippi State winning, or a tie. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price points, also indicates the level of confidence in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 4th quarter of the Alabama vs Mississippi State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will then receive their winnings or have their losing contracts settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Key injuries to star players on either team, significant changes in weather conditions, or even unexpected coaching decisions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Real-time game performance during the first three quarters will also have a substantial impact, as traders react to how the game is unfolding. Any news or analysis that alters the expected outcome of the 4th quarter is likely to cause movement in this market, leading to price adjustments and increased volume.