TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, focusing solely on the scoring dynamics of the last quarter without considering the overall game outcome. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that participants can evaluate.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Alabama vs Mississippi St. college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for each market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count, and overtime points are excluded from all calculations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees, of the final score.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means it costs $60 to buy a contract that pays out $100 if the event happens. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to new information and express their beliefs about the final point total in the 4th quarter of the game between Alabama and Mississippi State.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 4th quarter of the Alabama vs Mississippi State game will be used to determine if the ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ contracts will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verifying the final score and settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Alabama or Mississippi State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also move the market. Finally, in-game performance during the first three quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing by one team – could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts predicting the 4th quarter total.