TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:36 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory in the fourth quarter of a college football game between Alabama and Mississippi State. Outcomes depend solely on points scored during the final quarter, ignoring earlier periods or overtime scenarios.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the Alabama vs Mississippi State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold: if Alabama wins by more than the stated margin (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points) or Mississippi State wins by more than the stated margin (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points) during that quarter, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. No market considers points from other quarters or overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes incorporating information faster than sportsbooks, or reflecting different risk appetites among participants. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public versus expert opinion regarding the Alabama vs Mississippi State game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Alabama vs Mississippi State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at the time of purchase.
Several factors could influence the Alabama vs Mississippi State spread market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the game's likely outcome could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.