TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Alabama vs Mississippi St.: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Alabama vs Mississippi St.?

Volume:
$779,124

Alabama wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Alabama wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:55 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175,506
N/A
N/A
$129,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 4.5 points

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,218
N/A
N/A
$54,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 9.5 points

100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,382
N/A
N/A
$33,308
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 3.5 points

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,077
N/A
N/A
$36,974
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,966
N/A
N/A
$17,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 10.5 points

100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,311
N/A
N/A
$17,288
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 6.5 points

100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,576
N/A
N/A
$27,628
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,174
N/A
N/A
$58,554
Settled
No
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 14.5 points

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,104
N/A
N/A
$25,598
Settled
No
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 17.5 points

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,183
N/A
N/A
$8,831
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,353
N/A
N/A
$18,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,522
N/A
N/A
$8,126
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,028
N/A
N/A
$3,188
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,713
N/A
N/A
$3,638
Settled
No
kalshi

Alabama wins by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,379
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,376
N/A
N/A
$1,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
$1,087
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
$642
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

Mississippi St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
$479
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets tracks the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might perform in the initial 30 minutes of play.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the designated Alabama vs Mississippi St. college football game. For markets where Alabama is the favored team, resolution occurs if Alabama's point differential exceeds the specified threshold by the end of the first half. Conversely, markets favoring Mississippi St. resolve if their point differential surpasses the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty introduced by the delay. The resolving entity remains independent of official NCAA affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Alabama vs Mississippi State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You can view the historical price movement of the market, allowing you to analyze how opinions have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $737,385 and the total volume traded to date of $779,124. This provides insight into market activity and how much interest there is in different outcomes for this particular contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game's outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move in response, potentially offering a different value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Buyers believe the spread will be *less* than the contract's spread, while sellers believe it will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all traders on the platform, and it’s constantly updating as new trades are made. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the probability of various outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the Alabama vs Mississippi State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those on the incorrect side will receive $0.00. The precise timing of the resolution may depend on the speed of official result reporting.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Alabama or Mississippi State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and move the market accordingly.