TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff, scheduled for October 17 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama State" if Alabama State win the game. This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff, scheduled for October 17 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama State" if Alabama State win the game. This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, though they may differ from the probabilities expressed in this market due to differing motivations and information sources.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices converge to a more accurate representation of the collective forecast. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements indicate the market's assessment of each team's chances of winning, and you can observe these shifts in real-time on the dashboard. Trading volume plays a crucial role in price discovery within this market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Alabama-Arkansas college football game, as officially recorded by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the results against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, coaching changes, or significant shifts in team performance would likely impact the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts could also play a role, especially if they favor one team's playing style over the other. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and expert analysis, can also influence trader behavior. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception, causing the probabilities to shift.