TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the contest, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Alabama St. vs Bethune-Cookman college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If Alabama St. wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Bethune-Cookman wins by more than the defined margin in its respective markets, those resolve to Yes. For any game postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or even weather conditions, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the expected spread. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet, with higher prices suggesting lower implied probability.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Alabama St. vs Bethune-Cookman game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even significant weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts might also have an impact. Public perception, influenced by media coverage and expert analysis, can also drive price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the final spread.