TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Al Wasl and Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the AFC Champions League. The contest will determine the winner based solely on the results after the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on either team winning or the match ending in a tie.
The event involves determining the result of the Al Wasl vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya professional AFC Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The market resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Al Wasl, a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after the specified regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. The markets operate independently, with each outcome resolving to Yes if it matches the actual result, and No otherwise.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to weigh in with their own assessments, potentially leading to odds that diverge from traditional sources. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, especially in situations with limited public information or subjective factors influencing the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants regarding the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current market depth and order book are visible on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al Wasl vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will be the final result of the match, including any potential tiebreakers or overtime periods if applicable. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on the Kalshi platform following the official announcement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or stadium changes might also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the match can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in related matches or broader sporting events could also indirectly affect this market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the evolving landscape.