TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns a soccer match between Al-Taawoun and Al Qadsiah, focusing on the total number of goals scored. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, reflecting the match's offensive intensity.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Al-Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It's common to see this market offer insights that diverge from traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the aggregated forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Al-Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah match will be the determining factor. Official sources, such as sports news outlets and league websites, will be used to verify the final score. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Taawoun or Al Qadsiah would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trader sentiment. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts that suggests a shift in the expected goal tally could drive price fluctuations in this market.