TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates the margin of victory in the Al-Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah soccer match. The outcome hinges on whether one team wins by a sufficient number of goals, indicating a dominant performance.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Al-Taawoun or Al Qadsiah wins the professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first two markets require Al-Taawoun to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, respectively, while the latter two require Al Qadsiah to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the specified condition is met, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sets or differing interpretations of the same data, and can change as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Al-Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with higher demand driving prices up and increased supply pushing them down.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Al-Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah match as officially reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the contracts at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Al-Taawoun or Al Qadsiah could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, general news and analysis surrounding the Saudi Professional League, and even broader sporting events, could indirectly affect trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.